Ad hoc commentary

Russian wheat export quota failed to help bulls

Russian 9 mmt wheat quota looks non-disruptive to exports, says SovEcon

Russian wheat exports on the rise

Russian wheat exports have been growing in recent weeks. According to customs, as of the week ended November 17, 0.82 …

Ukraine to harvest a record-high corn crop in 2021, wheat production is expected to decline next year

We have revised Ukraine’s crop numbers for 2021 (bearish corn) and have issued the first 2022 wheat crop forecast (bullish!).

SovEcon expects Russia to increase wheat production by 5.2 mmt in 2022

The production is expected to rebound on a good weather setup for winter wheat.

Russia could reduce winter crops area by 5% on bad weather and taxes

SovEcon expects a substantial reduction in winter crops area this fall amid unfavorable weather conditions and a drop in farmers’ profitability.

Siberia saves new Russian wheat crop

Russian farmers have harvest 71 mmt of wheat in bunker weight and Siberian yields are great

Russian wheat prices higher but buyers started to lower ruble bids

Last week, 12.5% wheat prices in Russian deep-sea ports rallied further, by $13 to $299/mt supported by firmer ruble prices. Earlier rally in the global benchmarks also helped. Closer to the end of the week many buyers started to lower bids hoping that the ruble market could reverse soon.

Black Sea wheat price rallied after WASDE

Russia’s domestic wheat market is rising fast, supported by demand from exporters and domestic buyers as well as worsening crop outlook. This could negatively affect wheat exports pace during the next few months from the top world wheat exporter.

Ruble wheat prices rise rapidly threatening exports

Russia’s domestic wheat market is rising fast, supported by demand from exporters and domestic buyers as well as worsening crop outlook. This could negatively affect wheat exports pace during the next few months from the top world wheat exporter.