SovEcon: Russian and global grain market news – March 21, 2024

Daily news and market insights from a leading firm focused on the Black Sea grain markets research

Wheat futures declined on Wednesday. The May SRW wheat contract closed at $5.45/bu ($200/mt; -1.3% compared to Tuesday). May Euronext wheat dropped to €199.00/mt ($217/mt; -0.6%). May corn closed at $4.39/bu ($173/mt; -0.1%).

Analysts at Rosario exchange report that rains in key agricultural regions of Argentina have led to excess moisture in the soil, which could damage crops. The country’s national meteorological service notes that Argentina has received 15 to 50 mm of rainfall in the last 24 hours, with rains expected to continue in the coming days.

The grain traders’ association Coceral has lowered its forecast for wheat production in the EU and the UK for 2024 by 5.4 MMT to 134.1 MMT. Last season’s wheat harvest was estimated at 140.0 MMT. Coceral attributes the forecast reduction primarily to record rains that hindered planting late last year.

The Russian Ministry of Agriculture will not cancel the export duty on grain but is ready to adjust it at the start of the next season, stated the head of the ministry, Dmitry Patrushev.

Ukraine’s grain exports from March 1 to 20 amounted to 3.2 MMT, compared to 3.5 MMT during the same period last year, reports the country’s Ministry of Agrarian Policy.

Egypt’s GASC purchased 110,000 metric tons of wheat in an international tender at a price of $234.5/mt FOB (with a 270-day payment deferral). Of this, 50,000 metric tons will be supplied from Bulgaria, and 60,000 metric tons from Romania. All Russian exporters offered wheat at a price of $240/mt FOB (270 days) and $235/mt FOB (180 days).

More Articles for You

Russian 2026/27 Wheat Export Forecast Cut by 4.7 MMT

The 2026/27 Russian wheat export forecast has been cut by 4.7 MMT to 36.7 MMT, according to SovEcon’s latest report. …

Russia’s winter crop sowing pace is the slowest since 2013

As of Sept. 18, Russia had planted 6.1 million hectares of winter grains, down from 7.1 million hectares a year …

Russia, Ukraine Wheat Exports Set for Lowest Jul-Sep Since 2010

The first quarter of the 2026/27 season is nearing its end with Russian and Ukrainian wheat exports running at exceptionally …

Saudi Arabia Cancels Wheat Tender as Prices Surge

The absence of competitive Black Sea wheat is starting to disrupt international tenders, according to the latest SovEcon report. Saudi …

Russian Wheat Exports Start 2026/27 at Half Last Year’s Pace

Russian wheat exports are expected to remain around 2.0 mmt in September, compared with 4.6 mmt a year earlier, according …

Russia May Suspend Wheat Export Duty

Russia is likely to suspend its floating grain export duties through the end of 2026. The Agriculture Ministry is preparing …