Ad hoc commentary

Starting wheat yields in Russia are -45% YoY

Russia started to harvest the new winter wheat crop. Starting yields are low. As of June 29, the average yield is only 2.4 mt/ha (4.4 mt/ha a year ago).

Andrey Sizov speaks about Russian grain quota and food nationalism

Food export restrictions are being lifted all over the world but Russia keeps its grain quota and the AgMin wants to use it again in the future. Andrey Sizov from SovEcon talks about food nationalism and Russian grain quota perspectives in our video.

Andrey Sizov speaks about COVID-19 news and wheat market

Andrey Sizov from SovEcon speaks about COVID-19 news and the world wheat market. When the COVID-19 panic is over what could support the market? The answer is the weather.

Russian wheat export forecast cut on weak pace and low crop

The export forecast has been lowered again. The reason is the current weak pace and low crop figures for 2019, released by Rosstat in December.

Russia targets the Chinese soybeans market. Should American soybean farmers worry?

In October Russian President Vladimir Putin said that China is ready to buy as many soybeans as Russia can produce. …

Ukraine’s bumper corn crop to pressure U.S. exports business

Ukraine is expected to harvest a record-high corn crop this year which threatens the US exports to Asia

Russia’s wheat exports declined 14% in 18/19, further decrease is expected in 2019/20

In the 2018/19 (July-June) season Russia exported 35.3 MMT of wheat which is 14% lower than a year ago. In …

USA lost Chinese corn market even before the trade war thanks to Ukraine, fast-growing Black Sea exporter

USA lost Chinese corn market years ago to Ukraine, which exports rose six times in last 10 years. This year the country is expected to harvest another bumper corn crop.

Russian wheat traders face a tough start to the season

Russia’s traders face a tough start of the new export season. Farmers remain slow sellers, the ruble is strong and new crop outlook is deteriorating. July wheat exports are projected at 3.1 MMT, -18% YoY.

Russian wheat crop slashed to 73.7 MMT

SovEcon cut Russian wheat crop estimate from 76.6 MMT to 73.7 MMT after assessing the situation in Center and Volga Valley. The dry weather which we observed in May-June had a significant negative effect on crops in almost all key winter wheat regions.