Ad hoc commentary

SovEcon cut Russian wheat crop to 76 mmt, USDA’s forecast – 85 mmt

SovEcon cut Russia’s wheat crop forecast from 82.3 mmt to 76.4 mmt. The main reason is the substantially smaller winter wheat area reported by Rosstat.

Russian wheat crop outlook worsens on hot weather

Outlook for Russian wheat crop worsens. SovEcon cut 2021 crop estimate from 84.6 mmt to 82.3 mmt two weeks ago, USDA lowered its estimate by 1 mmt to 85 mmt a week ago.

Russian wheat prices tumbled on bumper crop expectations but starting yields don’t confirm them

Last week, 12.5% wheat prices in Russia’s deep-sea ports tumbled $12 to $234/mt FOB. This was driven by weaker global benchmarks and expectations of the bumper crop.

Russia sold wheat to GASC at best price, is the largest wheat exporter ready to take over Egyptian market?

After a long pause, Russian wheat successfully participated in the GASC tender. The Egyptian firm bought 60K of Russian wheat at $240 FOB (180 days payment) + $27.7 freight.

SovEcon upped Russian wheat crop forecast; first winter barley yields in Russian South are great

Last week, SovEcon upped the new Russian wheat crop forecast by 2.2 mmt to 84.6 mmt. Russia is #1 wheat exporter.

Weather helps new Russian wheat crop, SovEcon upped the forecast

SovEcon upped the Russian wheat crop forecast on favorable weather

Russia seeds spring wheat at the highest pace in five years

Russian farmers have seeded 12.8 mln ha of spring wheat compared to USDA’s estimate of 12 mln ha

Weather models predict different precipitation for key Russian spring wheat regions

The weather has been unfriendly for Russian spring wheat so far but things could change this week.

3 reasons why Russian farmers still like wheat

As of May 13, Russian farmers have seeded 4.1 mln ha of spring wheat. The seeding is catching up with the average pace on warmer weather after late spring which delayed the planting campaign in many regions. Despite the export tax we expect the country to increase the spring wheat area. Here’s why.

Russia’s spring wheat area is to rise this year

Russia’s spring wheat area is expected to rise this year despite export taxes and sluggish campaign start