Andrey Sizov
30.09.2025
As of September 26, average wheat yield in Siberia reached 2.7 mt/ha compared with 2.2 mt/ha a year earlier and a five-year average of 1.9 mt/ha, SovEcon said. Wheat yield in Siberia is at record high due to favorable weather through most of the season.
Record yield is also recorded in the Urals, where as of September 26 it stood at 2.3 mt/ha, up from 2.0 mt/ha in 2024 and a five-year average of 1.6 mt/ha.
Wet weather during spring and summer supported spring wheat yields in the Urals and Siberia. Over the past three months, precipitation in both regions was at or above normal, providing strong soil moisture reserves. In the Asian part of Russia, mainly spring crops are produced.
SovEcon projects final yields in Siberia and the Urals at 2.3 mt/ha and 2.2 mt/ha, respectively, both record highs for the regions.
Despite strong yields, total wheat production in the regions is expected to be somewhat below last year due to a smaller planted area. SovEcon estimates Siberia’s 2025 wheat output at 9.8 mmt (10.2 mmt in 2024) from 4.3 mln ha (5.0 mln ha), and the Urals at 4.1 mmt (4.4 mmt) from 1.9 mln ha (2.2 mln ha).
SovEcon’s 2025 forecast for Russian wheat production is 87.2 mmt compared with 82.6 mmt a year earlier and a five-year average of 88.3 mmt. The USDA projects the crop at 85.0 mmt.
High yields in Siberia and the Urals will partially offset losses from unfavorable weather in the South of Russia. At the same time, record production in Russia’s Asian regions is unlikely to translate into increased export supply due to their distance from key international grain transport routes.
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