SovEcon: Russian and global grain market news – September 9, 2025

Daily news and market insights from a leading firm focused on the Black Sea grain markets research

Grain futures rose on Monday. The December SRW wheat contract closed at $5.24/bu ($192/mt; +0.8% from Friday). The December HRW wheat contract climbed to $5.17/bu ($190/mt; +2.4%). The December Euronext wheat contract settled at €191.00/mt ($225/mt; +1.1%). The December U.S. corn contract increased to $4.22/bu ($166/mt; +0.9%).

Corn harvesting has begun in the U.S., according to USDA data. As of September 7, 4% of planted area had been harvested, compared with 5% expected and a five-year average of 3%. Spring wheat harvest was 85% complete, slightly ahead of both the market estimate and the five-year average of 84%.

USDA rated 68% of the U.S. corn crop in good or excellent condition, above both the market expectation of 67% and last year’s 64%.

Winter wheat planting in the U.S. was 5% complete, in line with expectations and slightly behind the five-year average of 6%, the USDA said.

Between September 1 and 8, Ukraine exported 0.5 mmt of grain, down from 0.6 mmt a year earlier, according to the country’s Economy Ministry. Total grain exports since the beginning of the season reached 4.6 mmt, compared with 7.9 mmt last year.

More Articles for You

Russia wheat exports in July lowest since 2017/18

Russian wheat exports totaled an estimated 1.6 mmt in July, the lowest for the month since 2017/18, according to a …

Russia grain export forecast cut as Azov navigation remains closed

SovEcon has cut its forecast for Russia’s 2026/27 wheat exports to 44.6 mmt from 46.5 mmt as navigation in the …

Russia wheat crop forecast cut to 88.3 mmt

SovEcon has cut its 2026 Russian wheat crop forecast to 88.3 mmt from 88.9 mmt, according to the company’s latest …

New-season Russian wheat export forecast raised on larger stocks

Larger carry-in stocks are expected to support Russian wheat exports in 2026/27 despite a smaller crop and muted early-season demand.

Russia starts new harvest with wheat yields up 29% y/y

Early harvest data from southern Russia show wheat and barley yields above last year after favorable weather.

Russian Port Wheat Prices Fall to Lowest Since Early February

Port bids fell as the ruble strengthened, however negative margins should support Russian and Black Sea wheat export prices.