SovEcon: Russian and global grain market news – September 23, 2025

Daily news and market insights from a leading firm focused on the Black Sea grain markets research

On Tuesday, grain prices rose. December SRW wheat closed at $5.20/bu ($191/mt; +1.9% vs. Monday). December HRW wheat climbed to $5.11/bu ($188/mt; +1.8%). December Euronext wheat settled at €190.00/mt ($224/mt; +0.5%). December U.S. corn rose to $4.26/bu ($168/mt; +1.1%).

The European crop monitoring agency MARS lowered its EU corn yield forecast to 6.88 mt/ha from 6.93 mt/ha in August and below the five-year average of 7.10 mt/ha. The revision reflects prolonged hot and dry weather across southeastern Europe.

Algeria’s OAIC purchased about 500 tmt of soft wheat at $259–261/mt (C&F), according to European traders. Black Sea countries were reported to be the main suppliers.

The USDA reported U.S. exporters sold 123 tmt of corn to Mexico for delivery in both the current and next marketing years.

Between September 1 and 22, Ukraine exported 1.6 mmt of grain, down from 2.3 mmt a year ago, according to the Ministry of Economy. Total grain exports since the start of the season reached 5.8 mmt, compared to 9.8 mmt last year.

From July 1 to September 21, the EU shipped 4.1 mmt of soft wheat, down from 6.1 mmt a year earlier, the European Commission reported. Analysts noted that data from France, Bulgaria, and Ireland remain incomplete.

Export prices for Russian 12.5% protein wheat rose by $1.5 to $228–229/mt FOB, according to SovEcon’s price monitoring. Before that, Russian wheat prices had been declining for four straight weeks. Prices were supported by limited wheat supply, a stronger ruble, and global market conditions.

More Articles for You

Russian 2026/27 Wheat Export Forecast Cut by 4.7 MMT

The 2026/27 Russian wheat export forecast has been cut by 4.7 MMT to 36.7 MMT, according to SovEcon’s latest report. …

Russia’s winter crop sowing pace is the slowest since 2013

As of Sept. 18, Russia had planted 6.1 million hectares of winter grains, down from 7.1 million hectares a year …

Russia, Ukraine Wheat Exports Set for Lowest Jul-Sep Since 2010

The first quarter of the 2026/27 season is nearing its end with Russian and Ukrainian wheat exports running at exceptionally …

Saudi Arabia Cancels Wheat Tender as Prices Surge

The absence of competitive Black Sea wheat is starting to disrupt international tenders, according to the latest SovEcon report. Saudi …

Russian Wheat Exports Start 2026/27 at Half Last Year’s Pace

Russian wheat exports are expected to remain around 2.0 mmt in September, compared with 4.6 mmt a year earlier, according …

Russia May Suspend Wheat Export Duty

Russia is likely to suspend its floating grain export duties through the end of 2026. The Agriculture Ministry is preparing …