SovEcon: Russian and global grain market news – March 12, 2026

Daily news and market insights from a leading firm focused on the Black Sea grain markets research

On Wednesday, grain futures rose. May SRW wheat settled at $5.95/bu ($218/mt; +0.6% vs. Tuesday). May HRW wheat rose to $6.13/bu ($225/mt; +0.8%). May Euronext wheat closed at €206.00/mt ($238/mt; +1.0%). May U.S. corn climbed to $4.60/bu ($181/mt; +1.8%).

FranceAgriMer cut its forecast for French soft wheat exports outside the EU by 0.1 mmt to 7.1 mmt. On the lower export outlook and revised 2025 crop results, it raised its estimate of ending stocks by 0.3 mmt to 3.4 mmt, the highest in more than 10 years.

India’s Agriculture Ministry pegged 2025/26 wheat production at 120.2 mmt versus 117.9 mmt a year earlier, the highest on record.

FOB prices for Russian wheat rose to $237/mt this week, according to SovEcon data, the highest level since $238/mt in August last year. Prices were supported by stronger futures and firmer export quotes from key competitors.

More Articles for You

Russian 2026/27 Wheat Export Forecast Cut by 4.7 MMT

The 2026/27 Russian wheat export forecast has been cut by 4.7 MMT to 36.7 MMT, according to SovEcon’s latest report. …

Russia’s winter crop sowing pace is the slowest since 2013

As of Sept. 18, Russia had planted 6.1 million hectares of winter grains, down from 7.1 million hectares a year …

Russia, Ukraine Wheat Exports Set for Lowest Jul-Sep Since 2010

The first quarter of the 2026/27 season is nearing its end with Russian and Ukrainian wheat exports running at exceptionally …

Saudi Arabia Cancels Wheat Tender as Prices Surge

The absence of competitive Black Sea wheat is starting to disrupt international tenders, according to the latest SovEcon report. Saudi …

Russian Wheat Exports Start 2026/27 at Half Last Year’s Pace

Russian wheat exports are expected to remain around 2.0 mmt in September, compared with 4.6 mmt a year earlier, according …

Russia May Suspend Wheat Export Duty

Russia is likely to suspend its floating grain export duties through the end of 2026. The Agriculture Ministry is preparing …