SovEcon: Russian and global grain market news – February 09, 2026

Daily news and market insights from a leading firm focused on the Black Sea grain markets research

On Friday, grain futures declined. The March SRW wheat contract closed at $5.30/bu ($195/mt; -1.0% vs. Thursday). March HRW wheat fell to $5.31/bu ($195/mt; -1.3%). The March Euronext wheat contract closed at €190.00/mt ($225/mt; -1.8%). The March U.S. corn contract slipped to $4.30/bu ($169/mt; -1.1%).

As of early February, 97% of Russia’s winter crops were in normal condition, up from 87% a year earlier, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Patrushev said. About 20 mln ha were planted with winter crops for the 2026 crop, he said.

In Spain, vast precipitation and strong wind gusts as Storm Marta hit the country caused significant damage to crops, Reuters reported, citing local farmers. Spain is among the five largest grain producers in the EU.

Kazakhstan’s 2025 wheat crop in post-cleaning weight totaled 19.3 mln t, the second-largest result on record after 2011. Total grain output amounted to 24.9 mln t, up 1.5% from a year earlier.

The FAO food price index fell 0.4% in January from December to 123.9 points. The FAO cereal price index rose 0.2% month to month to 107.5 points.

In February, the FAO raised its 2025/26 global grain production forecast by 19.9 mln t to 3 023.0 mln t, citing strong output in Argentina, Canada and the EU. The wheat production forecast was raised by 7.3 mln t to 834.7 mln t.

From Feb. 11, Russia’s wheat export tax rate will remain at zero for a fifth consecutive week, the Agriculture Ministry said.

More Articles for You

Saudi Arabia Cancels Wheat Tender as Prices Surge

The absence of competitive Black Sea wheat is starting to disrupt international tenders, according to the latest SovEcon report. Saudi …

Russian Wheat Exports Start 2026/27 at Half Last Year’s Pace

Russian wheat exports are expected to remain around 2.0 mmt in September, compared with 4.6 mmt a year earlier, according …

Russia May Suspend Wheat Export Duty

Russia is likely to suspend its floating grain export duties through the end of 2026. The Agriculture Ministry is preparing …

Russian Wheat Exports Set for Lowest August Since 2010

Russian wheat exports are set to fall sharply in August as disruptions at key Black Sea ports continue to restrict …

August Wheat Exports Could Be Lowest Since 2016/17

Black Sea disruptions and weak demand weigh on shipments

Russia wheat exports in July lowest since 2017/18

Russian wheat exports totaled an estimated 1.6 mmt in July, the lowest for the month since 2017/18, according to a …