SovEcon: Russian and global grain market news – December 26, 2025

Daily news and market insights from a leading firm focused on the Black Sea grain markets research

On Thursday, grain markets were closed for the Christmas holidays.

As of Dec. 23, Argentina’s wheat harvest was 84% complete vs. 89% a year earlier, according to the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange (BAGE). Wheat yields were at 4.29 mt/ha vs. 2.99 mt/ha a year earlier.

Corn planting in Argentina was 78% complete as of Dec. 23 vs. 81% a year earlier, BAGE data showed. Some 99% of corn was rated in normal to excellent condition vs. 100% a year earlier.

SovEcon estimates wheat exports in December at 3.9 million metric tons (mmt), above 3.4 mmt a year earlier and close to the record 4.1 mmt set in 2022. Russian wheat exports accelerated amid improving export margins.

Russia has completed the 2026 winter-crop sowing campaign. As of mid-December, farmers had planted 16.1 million hectares of winter wheat, slightly below 16.2 million hectares a year earlier and down from 16.9 million hectares two years ago. Russia’s winter wheat area peaked at 17.8 million hectares in December 2021 before entering a downward trend, reflecting weaker profitability in grain production following the introduction of wheat export taxes.

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